Nvidia reports its Q4 fiscal 2026 earnings today, February 25. Barchart This is the single most watched earnings event of the quarter, and the reason is simple.
Nvidia leads the AI chip market, supplying the most powerful processors used for training and running large language models. Barchart When Nvidia speaks, the entire tech sector listens.
Here is what the numbers look like going in.
All three major US indexes, the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq, are within 3% of their end-of-2025 levels, but up 13% or more on a 52-week basis. Finance Magnates The long-term trend is still up. But volatility is high, and Nvidia’s report tonight sets the tone for the next several months.
The week started rough. The Dow fell 821 points on Monday, the S&P 500 dropped 1.04%, and the VIX fear gauge jumped 10.1% to 21.01. LiteFinance The cause was a combination of AI disruption fears and tariff uncertainty.
Tuesday saw a partial recovery. A rally in technology firms drove a rebound, with the Nasdaq 100 gaining 1.1%. Advanced Micro Devices jumped around 9% after Meta announced plans to deploy AMD’s chips across its infrastructure. Fortune
Now all eyes are on Nvidia tonight.
Prediction markets put a 95% probability on Nvidia beating earnings expectations. Finance Magnates If Nvidia beats and guides higher, expect tech stocks to extend their recovery. If it misses or gives weak guidance, Monday’s sell-off could resume and deepen.
Key levels to watch: S&P 500 support at 6,750. Resistance at 6,950. Nvidia stock has key support near $115.
You do not need to own Nvidia shares to trade this event. Stock CFDs let you go long or short ahead of earnings with flexible position sizes.
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